Re: troll

From: Serge Rielau <srielau_at_ca.ibm.com>
Date: Thu, 04 Aug 2005 07:06:31 -0400
Message-ID: <3leb5pF128vl4U1@individual.net>

Jurgen Haan wrote:
> Serge Rielau wrote:
>

>> Call it RAC, GRID, autonomous computing, queuing, advanced XML, 
>> information integration. I think the commercial database vendors will 
>> stay ahead of the open source crowd for the foreseeable future.
>> Comparing marketshare between the faction in this environment is 
>> another can of worms.
>>

>
> I DO think you're underestimating both growth rate and capabilities of
> the OS databases. I honestly think those databases will gain a lot of
> marketshare in a very short time.

<snip>
Let me qualify what I posted.
I think the commercial databse vendors will _technologically_ stay ahead of the open source crowd.
Measuring Marketshare is a very difficuly thing when you add free stuff to the mix.
What is the market share of ACCESS? What is the marketshare of all those build-in niche products?
If we go back to the "# of books at Indigo" example ACCESS may well be market leader.
For all I know the big three are already in the minority in number of installations/amount of data stored/???. Who knows?

Let me spin it a different way:
What is the "marketshare" of pedestrians in Toronto as part of the public and private transportation? 0! Yet the sidewalks are choked.

The question for commercial vendors is: Does the market share as defined in revenue shrink or grow. So far it has been growing. And that is what is counting for teh commercial vendors.
As long as the pie for commercial vendors grows there is no threat.

Just my two cents not being an MBA or such... Serge

-- 
Serge Rielau
DB2 SQL Compiler Development
IBM Toronto Lab

Received on Thu Aug 04 2005 - 06:06:31 CDT